Currency pair
AUD/JPY
The relative news tone between the Australian dollar and the Japanese yen, and the official readings of both currencies side by side, without combining them.
Relative news tone (24 h)
+0.07
The tone of AUD is more positive than that of JPY
Medium confidence
Declared by the AI and not yet calibrated.
It is half the difference between the tone of AUD and that of JPY. Updated 6 hours ago
Pohuant publishes general, descriptive information. It is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Trading in the markets involves a risk of loss.
Readings by factor
Where each official series stands against its own history. These are not forecasts.
Australian dollar (AUD)
Relative strength
Performance against the other 7 currencies, 20 sessions (ECB rates)
1.17 %
Percentile 78 of 5 years · High
+1.59 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 28, 2026
Performance against the other 7 currencies, 60 sessions (ECB rates)
1.52 %
Percentile 68 of 5 years · Usual
+0.42 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 28, 2026
Macro
Macro momentum: official indicators against their trend (−1 to 1)
-0.24 index
Percentile 11 of 5 years · Low
+0.02 index over 1 week · Data as of Oct 20, 2026
CFTC positioning
Asset managers' net position in CME futures (% of open interest)
-38.7 %
Percentile 16 of 3 years · Low
-4.5 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 20, 2026
Leveraged funds' net position in CME futures (% of open interest)
15.8 %
Percentile 83 of 3 years · High
+0.9 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 20, 2026
Rates and curves
Central bank policy rate
4.6 %
Percentile 100 of 5 years · Very high
+25 bp over 3 months · Data as of Oct 15, 2026
10-year bond (monthly average)
5.28 %
Percentile 100 of 5 years · Very high
+26.8 bp over 1 month · Data as of Sep 1, 2026
Valuation
Real effective exchange rate against its 10-year trend
8.7 %
Percentile 88 of 15 years · High
+0.8 pp over 1 month · Data as of Sep 30, 2026
Japanese yen (JPY)
Relative strength
Performance against the other 7 currencies, 20 sessions (ECB rates)
-0.59 %
Percentile 51 of 5 years · Usual
-0.75 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 28, 2026
Performance against the other 7 currencies, 60 sessions (ECB rates)
1.56 %
Percentile 82 of 5 years · High
-2.14 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 28, 2026
Macro
Macro momentum: official indicators against their trend (−1 to 1)
0.39 index
Percentile 98 of 5 years · Very high
+0.03 index over 1 week · Data as of Oct 24, 2026
CFTC positioning
Asset managers' net position in CME futures (% of open interest)
20.9 %
Percentile 78 of 3 years · High
+3.2 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 20, 2026
Leveraged funds' net position in CME futures (% of open interest)
-6 %
Percentile 77 of 3 years · High
+3 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 20, 2026
Rates and curves
Central bank policy rate
1.25 %
Percentile 100 of 5 years · Very high
+25 bp over 3 months · Data as of Oct 20, 2026
10-year bond
2.83 %
Percentile 96 of 5 years · Very high
-9.8 bp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 27, 2026
2-year bond
1.89 %
Percentile 98 of 5 years · Very high
-2.1 bp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 27, 2026
Valuation
Real effective exchange rate against its 10-year trend
-24.2 %
Percentile 17 of 15 years · Low
+2.9 pp over 1 month · Data as of Sep 30, 2026
Recent news
Headline and link to the original outlet, with our own summary and the tone for this page.
investingLive (ex-ForexLive) ·
RBA set for fifth 2026 hike to 4.85% as banks flag risk of another move in FebruaryLos principales bancos australianos ahora esperan que el Banco de la Reserva de Australia suba las tasas el 3 de noviembre, lo que llevaría la tasa de efectivo a 4,85%, un quinto aumento este año. La atención está en la orientación del RBA y si insinúa otro movimiento en febrero.(Summary available in Spanish.)
- Australian dollar: positive tone
Bloomberg - Economics ·
Why Does Japan’s Underlying Inflation Guide BOJ Rate Decisions?Subscription outlet: headline and link only.
- Japanese yen: positive tone
Bloomberg - Economics ·
BOJ Set to Hold Rate as Inflation Reaches Long-Awaited MilestoneSubscription outlet: headline and link only.
- Japanese yen: positive tone
investingLive (ex-ForexLive) ·
AUDUSD ping-pongs between moving averages. What would break the stalemate?Australian inflation accelerated to 4.3% in September and RBA Governor Bullock said price growth may exceed the bank's August projections, keeping a possible rate increase in view. AUDUSD rose on the news, then pulled back between its 200-day and 100-hour moving averages.
- Australian dollar: positive tone
investingLive (ex-ForexLive) ·
Morning Kickstart: Dollar mixed ahead of Fed, BoC and Big Tech earningsThe dollar traded mixed before central bank decisions from Canada and the US and major tech earnings. New Zealand's central bank unexpectedly kept rates unchanged, while hawkish Australian inflation and RBA remarks lifted the Australian dollar and weighed on the kiwi.
- Australian dollar: positive tone
Japan Times ·
Bank of Japan unlikely to take rates higher this weekThe Bank of Japan is expected to keep rates unchanged this week, though markets see a December hike as plausible.
- Japanese yen: negative tone
investingLive (ex-ForexLive) ·
AUD/USD struggles to break key resistance despite hot Australia CPI and hawkish RBAAustralian consumer inflation came in above forecasts and the RBA governor said price growth is still far too high, keeping expectations of another rate increase alive. AUD/USD nonetheless stayed near 0.7030, blocked by its 100-day and 200-day averages.
- Australian dollar: positive tone
Japan Times ·
Xi’s military purges make U.S. deterrence more urgentAn opinion piece argues that Xi Jinping's purges of China's military have centralized his authority and increased the danger of a move against Taiwan.
- Australian dollar: negative tone
investingLive (ex-ForexLive) ·
European markets brace for Fed decision as hot Australia CPI, RBNZ surprise and oil rally stir nervesAustralian inflation came in above expectations, prompting RBA Governor Bullock to say price pressures remain far too high. The RBNZ unexpectedly held its cash rate at 2.75%, sending the New Zealand dollar sharply lower.
- Australian dollar: positive tone
investingLive (ex-ForexLive) ·
investingLive Asia-Pacific market news: Hawkish RBA, surprise RBNZ hold lift AUD/NZDThe RBA struck a hawkish tone, with Governor Bullock saying inflation remains far too high, while the RBNZ unexpectedly held rates in a 4-3 vote and signaled more hikes may come.
- Australian dollar: positive tone
Bloomberg - Economics ·
Commonwealth Bank Now Expects RBA to Hike to 4.85% in NovemberSubscription outlet: headline and link only.
- Australian dollar: positive tone
Bloomberg - Markets ·
New Zealand Dollar Slides Most Versus Aussie Since 2017 on RBNZSubscription outlet: headline and link only.
- Australian dollar: positive tone
investingLive (ex-ForexLive) ·
RBA’s Bullock: Inflation is far too highLa gobernadora del RBA, Michele Bullock, afirmó que la inflación es demasiado alta y señaló poca disposición a ignorar los shocks de oferta.(Summary available in Spanish.)
- Australian dollar: positive tone
investingLive (ex-ForexLive) ·
AUD/NZD in focus as hawkish RBA signals clash with RBNZ’s surprise 4-3 holdEl RBA mantiene un tono hawkish mientras el RBNZ sorprende al no subir tasas con voto dividido 4-3, ampliando la divergencia de política monetaria entre Australia y Nueva Zelanda.(Summary available in Spanish.)
- Australian dollar: positive tone
investingLive (ex-ForexLive) ·
RBNZ holds OCR at 2.75% in surprise 4-3 vote, says tighter policy still likelyEl RBNZ mantuvo la tasa oficial en 2,75% con una votación sorpresiva de 4-3, aunque indicó que una política más restrictiva sigue siendo probable.(Summary available in Spanish.)
- Australian dollar: positive tone
investingLive (ex-ForexLive) ·
Australia trimmed mean CPI rises to 3.7%, above forecasts, as RBA hike case firmsLa inflación subyacente recortada de Australia subió al 3,7%, por encima de lo previsto, reforzando las expectativas de una subida de tasas del RBA.(Summary available in Spanish.)
- Australian dollar: positive tone
ABC News Australia - Top stories ·
Breaking: Inflation surges more than expected ahead of RBA meetingLa inflación en Australia subió más de lo esperado antes de la reunión del RBA, aumentando las expectativas de una subida de tasas la próxima semana.(Summary available in Spanish.)
- Australian dollar: positive tone
The Guardian - World ·
Australia’s inflation rate rises to 4.3%, fuelling fears of fifth interest rate hike this yearLa inflación en Australia subió al 4,3% y su medida subyacente se situó en 3,6% anual, lo que refuerza las expectativas de una nueva subida de tasas del RBA.(Summary available in Spanish.)
- Australian dollar: positive tone
Bloomberg - Economics ·
Australian Inflation Exceeds Estimate Ahead of RBA MeetingSubscription outlet: headline and link only.
- Australian dollar: positive tone
investingLive (ex-ForexLive) ·
Australian September core inflation (trimmed mean) 3.7% y/y (expected 3.6%)La inflación subyacente recortada de Australia subió al 3,7% interanual en septiembre, por encima de lo esperado, mientras el IPC general se mantuvo en el 3,9%.(Summary available in Spanish.)
- Australian dollar: positive tone
Other pairs
Currency pair
AUD/USD
Australian dollar · US dollar
+0.15
−10+1Positive tone · 66 stories
Currency pair
USD/JPY
US dollar · Japanese yen
-0.08
−10+1Negative tone · 66 stories
Currency pair
EUR/JPY
Euro · Japanese yen
-0.24
−10+1Negative tone · 15 stories
Currency pair
EUR/AUD
Euro · Australian dollar
-0.31
−10+1Negative tone · 16 stories
Currency pair
GBP/JPY
British pound · Japanese yen
-0.26
−10+1Negative tone · 18 stories
Currency pair
GBP/AUD
British pound · Australian dollar
-0.33
−10+1Negative tone · 19 stories
Currency pair
AUD/CHF
Australian dollar · Swiss franc
Not enough news in the last 24 hours.
Currency pair
AUD/CAD
Australian dollar · Canadian dollar
-0.02
−10+1Neutral tone · 14 stories
Currency pair
AUD/NZD
Australian dollar · New Zealand dollar
+0.24
−10+1Positive tone · 9 stories
Currency pair
NZD/JPY
New Zealand dollar · Japanese yen
-0.16
−10+1Negative tone · 9 stories
Currency pair
CAD/JPY
Canadian dollar · Japanese yen
+0.09
−10+1Positive tone · 14 stories
Currency pair
CHF/JPY
Swiss franc · Japanese yen
Not enough news in the last 24 hours.