Currency pair
EUR/NZD
The relative news tone between the euro and the New Zealand dollar, and the official readings of both currencies side by side, without combining them.
Relative news tone (24 h)
-0.05
Similar tone for EUR and NZD
Low confidence
Declared by the AI and not yet calibrated.
It is half the difference between the tone of EUR and that of NZD. Updated 4 hours ago
Pohuant publishes general, descriptive information. It is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Trading in the markets involves a risk of loss.
Readings by factor
Where each official series stands against its own history. These are not forecasts.
Euro (EUR)
Relative strength
Performance against the other 7 currencies, 20 sessions (ECB rates)
-2.15 %
Percentile 3 of 5 years · Very low
-0.49 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 28, 2026
Performance against the other 7 currencies, 60 sessions (ECB rates)
-2.42 %
Percentile 6 of 5 years · Very low
-0.51 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 28, 2026
Macro
Macro momentum: official indicators against their trend (−1 to 1)
0.19 index
Percentile 89 of 5 years · High
+0.09 index over 1 week · Data as of Oct 21, 2026
CFTC positioning
Asset managers' net position in CME futures (% of open interest)
21.7 %
Percentile 1 of 3 years · Very low
-1.2 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 20, 2026
Leveraged funds' net position in CME futures (% of open interest)
-7.8 %
Percentile 1 of 3 years · Very low
-0.1 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 20, 2026
Rates and curves
Central bank policy rate
2.5 %
Percentile 59 of 5 years · Usual
+25 bp over 3 months · Data as of Oct 20, 2026
10-year bond
3.37 %
Percentile 97 of 5 years · Very high
-6.9 bp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 27, 2026
2-year bond
3.02 %
Percentile 91 of 5 years · Very high
-1.3 bp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 27, 2026
Valuation
Real effective exchange rate against its 10-year trend
3 %
Percentile 92 of 15 years · Very high
+0.6 pp over 1 month · Data as of Sep 30, 2026
New Zealand dollar (NZD)
Relative strength
Performance against the other 7 currencies, 20 sessions (ECB rates)
-0.54 %
Percentile 43 of 5 years · Usual
-0.68 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 28, 2026
Performance against the other 7 currencies, 60 sessions (ECB rates)
-3.3 %
Percentile 10 of 5 years · Very low
-1.24 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 28, 2026
Macro
Macro momentum: official indicators against their trend (−1 to 1)
0.02 index
Percentile 51 of 5 years · Usual
-0.13 index over 1 week · Data as of Oct 27, 2026
CFTC positioning
Asset managers' net position in CME futures (% of open interest)
-37.5 %
Percentile 45 of 3 years · Usual
-2.3 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 20, 2026
Leveraged funds' net position in CME futures (% of open interest)
-14.7 %
Percentile 29 of 3 years · Low
-5.4 pp over 1 week · Data as of Oct 20, 2026
Rates and curves
Central bank policy rate
2.75 %
Percentile 37 of 5 years · Usual
+25 bp over 3 months · Data as of Oct 16, 2026
10-year bond (monthly average)
4.94 %
Percentile 95 of 5 years · Very high
+23 bp over 1 month · Data as of Sep 1, 2026
Valuation
Real effective exchange rate against its 10-year trend
-3.7 %
Percentile 13 of 15 years · Low
-1.5 pp over 1 month · Data as of Sep 30, 2026
Recent news
Headline and link to the original outlet, with our own summary and the tone for this page.
Bloomberg - Markets ·
ECB Expected to Keep Rates on HoldSubscription outlet: headline and link only.
- Euro: positive tone
investingLive (ex-ForexLive) ·
What are the main events for today?The ECB is expected to hold rates steady while keeping a data-dependent stance, with September inflation at 3.8% and markets pricing about a 64% chance of a December hike.
- Euro: positive tone
OilPrice.com ·
EU Scrambles to Contain Energy Price Crisis Ahead of WinterEU energy ministers are meeting to address a worsening energy price crisis before winter, after refinery closures pushed diesel prices to record highs and gas hit 100 euros per MWh.
- Euro: negative tone
WSJ - Markets Main ·
U.S. Treasury Yields Fall as Investors Digest Fed Meet, Focus Shifts to ECBSubscription outlet: headline and link only.
- Euro: positive tone
Le Monde EN - Economy ·
European Central Bank meets as France's deteriorating public finances continue to drive questionsThe ECB meets as France's worsening public finances raise questions; most expect rates to stay unchanged after two increases this year, with President Lagarde speaking in Bangkok on October 14, 2026.
- Euro: positive tone
Bloomberg - Economics ·
France Debt Crisis: How Does It Compare With Greece?Subscription outlet: headline and link only.
- Euro: negative tone
Bloomberg - Economics ·
ECB Set to Hold Rates to Assess France and Energy RisksSubscription outlet: headline and link only.
- Euro: positive tone
investingLive (ex-ForexLive) ·
investingLive Asia-Pacific market news: Oil eases on Vance’s Iran outreachA batch of Asia-Pacific market updates: oil slipped after reports of a Vance letter to Iran aimed at restarting talks, and gold stayed above $4,000.
- New Zealand dollar: positive tone
Bloomberg - Economics ·
RBNZ Governor Sees ‘High’ Chance of December Interest-Rate HikeSubscription outlet: headline and link only.
- New Zealand dollar: positive tone
investingLive (ex-ForexLive) ·
RBNZ’s Breman says chances of a December rate hike are high after surprise hold at 2.75%An RBNZ official said the odds of a December rate increase are elevated after the central bank unexpectedly kept rates at 2.75%. She said the timing remains uncertain and that a weak currency could add to imported inflation.
- New Zealand dollar: positive tone
investingLive (ex-ForexLive) ·
NZ business confidence rises to +53 as pricing intentions hit highest since MayLa encuesta de ANZ de octubre mostró la confianza empresarial neozelandesa subiendo 1 punto a +53, con un 52% neto de empresas planeando subir precios, lo máximo desde mayo, e inflación esperada estable en 3,3%.(Summary available in Spanish.)
- New Zealand dollar: positive tone
Meduza ·
Kremlin says U.S.-Russia-Ukraine peace talks will take place in Abu Dhabi after November 4, depending on battlefield conditionsThe Kremlin said trilateral talks among the US, Russia and Ukraine will be held in Abu Dhabi after November 4, with timing tied to battlefield conditions. Zelensky mentioned November 10 as a possible date.
- Euro: positive tone
Bloomberg - Politics ·
Zelenskyy Expects US-Ukraine-Russia Talks as Early As Next WeekSubscription outlet: headline and link only.
- Euro: positive tone
investingLive (ex-ForexLive) ·
NZDUSD tumbles after surprise RBNZ hold. Sellers retain control as the rebound stalls.The RBNZ kept its cash rate at 2.75%, defying market expectations of a hike, though the 4-3 vote and guidance suggest further tightening remains likely as inflation is seen rising.
- New Zealand dollar: negative tone
Meduza ·
Putin turns a half-hour call with European leaders into a 90-minute history lecture. Trump says a three-way summit could happen ‘very soon.’President Trump said a three-way summit with Putin and Zelensky could occur soon and expected significant progress, without giving a date or venue.
- Euro: positive tone
Bloomberg - Markets ·
European Gas Hits €100 for First Time Since 2022 Energy CrisisSubscription outlet: headline and link only.
- Euro: negative tone
investingLive (ex-ForexLive) ·
Morning Kickstart: Dollar mixed ahead of Fed, BoC and Big Tech earningsThe dollar traded mixed before central bank decisions from Canada and the US and major tech earnings. New Zealand's central bank unexpectedly kept rates unchanged, while hawkish Australian inflation and RBA remarks lifted the Australian dollar and weighed on the kiwi.
- New Zealand dollar: negative tone
investingLive (ex-ForexLive) ·
EUR/USD nears key 1.1067 swing level ahead of Fed and ECB decisions. What's next?EUR/USD is approaching the 1.1067 swing level before Fed and ECB decisions. The Fed is expected to keep rates unchanged, with Chair Warsh's wording the key focus and a hawkish hold seen as the base case.
- Euro: negative tone
FT - World ·
Zelenskyy opens door to security guarantees for RussiaSubscription outlet: headline and link only.
- Euro: positive tone
investingLive (ex-ForexLive) ·
Macro pulse: Has the RBNZ shock exposed a bigger problem with central bank rate pricing?New Zealand's central bank kept its policy rate at 2.75% despite markets expecting a hike, sending the kiwi down 1.3% against the dollar. The article says central banks are increasingly avoiding firm guidance as they balance stubborn inflation against weaker growth.
- New Zealand dollar: negative tone
Other pairs
Currency pair
EUR/USD
Euro · US dollar
-0.13
−10+1Negative tone · 76 stories
Currency pair
NZD/USD
New Zealand dollar · US dollar
-0.08
−10+1Negative tone · 69 stories
Currency pair
EUR/GBP
Euro · British pound
+0.05
−10+1Neutral tone · 30 stories
Currency pair
EUR/JPY
Euro · Japanese yen
-0.21
−10+1Negative tone · 16 stories
Currency pair
EUR/CHF
Euro · Swiss franc
Not enough news in the last 24 hours.
Currency pair
EUR/CAD
Euro · Canadian dollar
-0.30
−10+1Negative tone · 26 stories
Currency pair
EUR/AUD
Euro · Australian dollar
-0.28
−10+1Negative tone · 17 stories
Currency pair
GBP/NZD
British pound · New Zealand dollar
-0.09
−10+1Negative tone · 23 stories
Currency pair
AUD/NZD
Australian dollar · New Zealand dollar
+0.24
−10+1Positive tone · 9 stories
Currency pair
NZD/JPY
New Zealand dollar · Japanese yen
-0.16
−10+1Negative tone · 9 stories
Currency pair
NZD/CHF
New Zealand dollar · Swiss franc
Not enough news in the last 24 hours.
Currency pair
NZD/CAD
New Zealand dollar · Canadian dollar
-0.26
−10+1Negative tone · 18 stories